It’s been awhile. Writing is hard and my days are packed to the gills with work. You too, probably.
So consider this a Friday Flash “speed round” with hot takes, impressions, and things I possibly shouldn’t say out loud.
A real estate trade association that has struggled to figure out the internet and wants to protect its members from “interlopers” seeks help from a publicly traded company led by a notoriously aggressive CEO. They make a plan to build a public website for listings.
No, this is not 1996.
I get why NYC brokers are all-in on this. But as I have said for months now, the “your listing, your lead” siren song, mesmerizing though it is, may cloak a future peril. Or not. We’ll see. Call me cynical.
If you think I’m an instrument of Zillow PR, here’s another observation for you:
Zillow is now locked into a two-front war.
I do think CoStar’s NY portal play will inflict pain. And when CoStar’s national strategy is unveiled, it may prompt some IDX defections from big listing brokers tired of airlifting competitors. This will hurt Zillow, which is now IDX-powered.
Furthermore, Opendoor is not letting Zillow run away with the iBuyer category. Far from it. Opendoor has extended its buying power by lining up $9 billion in debt capacity. Two years ago, I stated that Zillow’s brand and low customer acquisition cost would allow it to steamroll Opendoor, the first-mover. I was wrong.
I don’t think Rich Barton is sweating, but maybe he’s taken off his sweater. The game is far from over.
Commission steering by buyer agents is the real estate industry’s soft underbelly, the exhaust portal through which regulatory Skywalkers will torpedo the organized real estate Death Star.
Because, um, agents can’t stop self-owning.
Here’s a new hidden camera video from the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation showing agents doing the wrong thing. Much more to come I’m afraid.
Crazy-town funding rounds, iBuying, cash offers, hints of organized real estate oblivion… this swirl can create its own reality where it feels like we are one SPAC away from a brand-new real estate world.
But there are things that begin, and succeed, outside of this.
Realogy’s launch of the Corcoran brand as a franchise is one of those things. In only two years, the brand has reached 27 markets and over 5,000 agents. They’ve blown past projections.
Of course, a flush market helps, but I think the brand’s positioning struck a chord. Low-register luxe; city-sophisticated but not cold; serious but not old.
Life goes on.
Venture-backed virtual brokerage Avenue 8, which launched in the SF Bay Area and then moved into LA, announced its entry into the NYC market.
I find this company interesting because it’s elevating “virtual brokerage” above the low end. They’re tech-focused, design-forward, and targeting top agents in expensive markets — something like Compass without the offices. Keep an eye on ‘em.
That’s all for now. Back to it.
Enjoy the weekend.